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Wednesday, November 21, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of November 24th, 2007

The Heisman Bet-

ESPN Heisman Watch, here.

Missouri’s Chase Daniels and Florida’s Tim Tebow are emerging as front-runners. Daniels could solidify his run with a win over undefeated Kansas this weekend.

The SEC Games-

Arkansas v (1) LSU- Arkansas will feed the ball to McFadden in a vain attempt to control the game. LSU’s defense will adjust quickly forcing Dick to throw more, resulting in bad things. No matter how the game is played, LSU will own it and command the the play. LSU heads to 11-1 going into the SEC title game. On CBS.

(7) Georgia v Georgia Tech- Georgia should win, but gives more points than GT. Can the home field advantage and the high-octane offense pull off the upset? No, you know better than that. SEC teams always win out of conference. On ABC.

(18) Tennessee v Kentucky- If played a month ago, this may have been this week’s most talked about game. As it is, Kentucky is just trying to regain its momentum as it looks to next year. Upset special- Tennessee is 1-3 on the road this year and Ainge is playing banged up. Any hopes of clinching the SEC East for the Volunteers lie in controlling the Wildcats’ Woodson whom has only given up 8 interceptions. Kentucky’s run game is not that impressive but after they build a reasonable lead, look for them to go into a time-kill run game. Tennessee’s emotions may be a bit too high to recoup an abysmal road game record this year. On CBS.

(22) Clemson v South Carolina- Steve Spurrier did not return to the college game to go 6-6. Also feeding into the Cocks’ game is Auburn’s deflation after LSU clinched the East. Gamecocks win. Shots of Spurrier blowing a head gasket on the sideline will be mandatory.

The PAC-10 Games-

(11) USC v (6) Arizona State- They lost to Oregon, they will also lose to USC. Arizona State is overrated.

(9) Oregon v UCLA- I personally hope Dixon gets to play again. But that is probably wishful thinking. Look for Oregon to rely on its run game to set the tempo, if that doesn’t work another disappointment will be in store for the Ducks.

The Big-12 Games-

*** must watch game of the week ***

(4) Missouri v (2) Kansas- To be honest I don’t know who will win this game. There is not enough history of either team being relevant to judge the situation. But I do know this: Kansas at home, giving up 10 less points a game than Missouri, scoring more points, and having all offensive positions filled with production while Missouri lacks a strong run game. What worries me is Kansas folding under pressure, having never been ranked #2 in the nation before. Even if Kansas wins this game, the pressure will only grow having to still yet play in the Big-12 title game. I will take Missouri, but would not be at all surprised to see the Jayhawks run the table. On ABC.

***

Oklahoma State v (10) Oklahoma- Sooners. Take the Sooners.

(13) Texas v Texas A&M- Take the horns.

An upset would give the ranked survivor the Big-12 South.

The Big-10 Games-

(5) Ohio State won the Big-10. Ummm, didn’t we know that would happen?

The ACC Games-

Most of the games were covered in the SEC matchups, the remainders:

Miami (FL) v (14) Boston College- Told you Ryan would lead them to a win last week. He will lead them to a win this week too.

(8) Virginia Tech v (16) Virginia- another in-state rival game, only this one matters. For my money I will take VT, but in all honesty, Virginia has impressed more this year. Upset? Maybe…

The Big East Games-

(20) UConn v (3) West Virginia- A UConn loss here would cap an over hyped season and WV will roll on and face Pitt next. I do not buy UConn. And besides Slaton and White have combined for +/- 2000 yards, 17 touchdowns on 338 carries. How can you bet against that??

(23) South Florida v Pitt- take the Bulls. Disappointing losses this season, but still have a lot to play for- a bigger money bowl is still a possibility.

(24) Cincinnati v Syracuse- Take Cin. Orangemen are football girly men this year.

The WAC Games-

Gee, what do you know, the WAC has its only two relevant teams playing each other to cap the year off. Big surprise.

(19) Boise State v (15) Hawaii- Ok, I know Hawaii is good, ok great. But honestly, I truly believe the Broncos elevate their game when its needed most, while Hawaii stays the same great game every week. The ability to adjust and play above their game will suit BSU who comes into this game fully healthy and a loaded depth chart. We still don’t know if Colt Brennen will play for sure, signs point to yes though. The first half will be close and distressing, but look for the Broncos to take over during the 2nd half. June Jones will have his typical ‘deer in headlights’ look that he has every time he plays Boise State.

And finally just to pile on…..

Utah State (1-10) and University of Idaho (1-10)- Ok, so the best of WAC plays each other, so why not the worst? It’s incredibly painful to comment on this game, but here we go. Idaho gives up too many interceptions (15) and points per game (38) to even be able to stay in a game with Utah State. Watch Jackson’s timing with Myers, they connected for two TD’s last week. This week is another chance to get some reps for next year. Hey Vandal fans- look at Boise State’s and the Vandals’ record~ who is really the ‘jackass’ this year? Tell your new coach to shut his fat yap and focus on winning some damn games. Unless you like playing at a Division II level…

Notre Dame at Stanford- Take the upset and Notre Dame will finish the season 2-10. No amount of money can be thrown at the BCS Committees to buy yourself into a bowl game with that record. Which begs the question: will Notre Dame give Weis one more season to find out if it is really just a ‘recruiting problem?’. I would be surprised if they paid him what would be needed just to go away. Weis had better land one hell of a recruiting class this off-season.


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posted by Luke at 21:32:12  

Thursday, November 15, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of November 17th, 2007

The Heisman Watch-

ESPN Heisman Watch link, here.

Looks like McFadden will have to be satisfied with third place Hesiman balloting.

Booty is still out of the picture.

The SEC Games-

(1) LSU v Mississippi- Ole Miss is 0-6 in the SEC and giving up 28 points a game. Enough said. On CBS.

Florida Atlantic v (12) Florida- Ummm take the home team.

(23) Kentucky v (9) Georgia- Kentucky has fallen to 3-3 in SEC play. A win here could get the momentum moving forward again.  At its core this is a match up of the pass game, Kentucky, and the run game, Georgia.  The bottom line is this Georgia should be able to use the run game and home field advantage to control the game. Look for Kentucky to try and keep it interesting.

Vanderbilt v (20) Tennessee- In Ainge We Trust. Big game to ’show me something’ for the Vols.

The PAC-10 Games-

(2) Oregon v Arizona- Thursday night games always seem to catch ranked teams off guard. Dixon is great and Arizona gives up 28 points a game. Arizona likes to pass, which plays into Oregon’s defense. The Ducks should be able to move the ball and control the clock with the run game.

The ACC Games-

Miami(FL) v (10) Virginia Tech- No chance.

(17) BC v (15) Clemson- I still believe that BC is the better team.

The Big 12 Games-

(5) Missouri v Kansas St- No chance. Losing at home, thats sad…

Iowa St. v (3) Kansas- Nothing says ‘great football game’ than the Iowa St Cyclones! lol…

Finally, a decent game…

(4) Oklahoma v Texas Tech- this game is on ABC, my must watch game of the week. Look for the Sooners to smother Techs offense to put the Tech scheme to shame. Oklahoma continues to state it’s case for the BCS.

The Big 10 Games-

(7) Ohio St v (21) Michigan- Lloyd Carr should, and will be, fired at the end of this season. But it sure would be nice if he does out with a bang and gives Sweater-Vest another loss. I don’t buy either team, but Michigan has the worst of the uphill battle playing a must win game against an ugly defense front. On ABC.

Northwestern v (19) Illinois- Yawn.

(25) Wisconsin v Minnesota- The Golden Gophers… hmmm.. they really, really suck.

The Big East Games-

Syracuse v (24) UConn- Orangeman are embarrassing. Just a game UConn needs to get going again, and to stay atop the Big East.

(6) West Virginia v (22) Cincinnati- Wake up! Finally a good game to write about… ok here we go… Neither game gives up many points, only about 14 points a game. West Virginia seems to have the upper hand with its offensive production. But Cinci is playing at home. If WV and UConn both lose this week Cinci could find themselves on top of the Big East. There is some motivation for you. Too bad they have to beat WV to do it.

The W[eak]A[nd]C[ompletelyembarassing] Games-

(16) Hawaii v Nevada- The Wolf pack desperately want a win to prove they are legit. They will need to catch Colt Brennan off balance to do just that. Nevada game BSU all it could handle in a 4OT game. BSU won, look for Nevada to try and knock off another WAC leading program. Home field won’t be much of an advantage as not many show up for their football games.

finally my Boise State Broncos…..

Idaho v (18) BSU- Weeeeeee, its ‘rivalry’ week. Im so excited to get pumped up about playing the 1-9 Vandals, whose quarterback has thrown 15 interceptions. Look for the Bronco D to add to that number this weekend. This game is a local favorite, but it is almost always over before it starts, but what else is new for a reasonably decent team stuck in the WAC???


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posted by Luke at 17:11:41  

Thursday, November 8, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of November 10th, 2007

Heisman Watch Link, Here. 

Of note here, of the two Hesiman Bet Contenders only Darren McFadden remains in the race. = )

However, count me in the Dennis Dixon For Heisman Camp! 

The SEC Games-

How is this for conference strength of schedule- every single matchup of SEC teams this week features at least one Top 25 ranked team. The SEC is clearly the most dominant conference in college football right now, hands down.

And another thing to consider- the SEC could have 11 bowl eligible teams. ELEVEN!!. That story, here. 

Without further ado, the games:

La Tech v (2) LSU- Is this a joke? Seriously, this is cruel and mean-spirited if it is. If La Tech cannot handle BSU, what chance do they have against a far superior defensive team? Whatever, La Tech can use this game to get quality experience for players in the depth chart in hopes of building the program in the right direction. Let us hope they don’t think they have a real chance…

(18) Auburn v (10) Georgia- this will be the 111th meeting between these two rivals. Tradition and timelessness- yet another reason to love SEC football. Georgia pounds the ball with Moreno whom has 1003 yards on 173 carries with 9 TD’s. Auburn gives up about 170 rushing yards game. That should be all the Bulldogs need to make Ugga happy. On CBS.

(15) Florida v South Carolina- Yummy, Spurrier versus Meyer. Yet another reason to love college football- stat coaches with superior talent and leadership. Spurrier should be nothing but happy with what he has accomplished as SC for far, the biggest test for the gamecocks has been its dual-QB and RB tantrums. Until the depth chart gets figured out, struggles may come against teams like Florida.

(22) Alabama v Mississippi State- The Bulldogs ARE 5-4, but just do not have enough offensive firepower to compete against an established system like `Bama. The Bulldogs could still finish the season bowl-eligible and finding some way to win this week would guarantee that.

Arkansas v (24) Tennessee- The Volunteers, lead my one of my favorite college football QB’s Erik Ainge are 5-0 at home this year. The toughest test yet for the Vols comes into town this week. Tennessee struggles to stop the run, giving up and average of 171 rushing yards a game (70th in Div I). With Heisman super-candidate Darren McFadden coming into town the Vols with need all they can get from Ainge to stay in the game after the second half. Take Arkansas in an upset win as the Volunteers will continue to find a lack of momentum to carry the season.

(25) Kentucky v Vanderbilt- The Wildcats will blow Vanderbilt out of the water. I am impressed with what they have put together this year.

The PAC-10 Games-

Oregon has a bye week this week, couldn’t come at a better time after two emotional must-win games behind them.

(9) Arizona State v UCLA- UCLA should not be this bad, there is no excuse being located in one of America’s premier football recruiting hotspots.  But whatever, it is what it is. ASU moves on to hopes of at least a BCS game. On ABC.

(17) USC v Cal- What USC has in depth, Cal has in starters, but defensive talent gives an edge to USC whom only allows 80 rushing yards a game. That just happen to be Cal’s brightest spot. Pete Carroll game plans for weakness, look for Cal to be forced into a secondary attack mode with their passing game. On ABC.

The ACC Games-

(8) Boston College v Maryland- So they have a loss. They still have one of the best QB’s in the game with Matt Ryan at the helm, oh and a damn fine run game too. Add in the fact that BC only gives up about 50 rushing yards and about 14 points during an average game and things look woeful. Take BC for the win. On ABC.

Florida State v (11) Virginia Tech- Remember this about Florida State- they are still only 6-3. A record like that is not to shabby in a fly-by-the-seat-of-your-pants conference ACC.  To be bowl-eligible in a parity era is a good milestone. However, their just doesn’t seem to be the leadership on FSU to overcome the fact can score a ton of points in a hurry. And considering that VT leads the nation is yards allowed a game, FSU might just be left wondering how they DID pull of an upset win over a #2 ranked team. On ABC.

(19) Virginia v Miami (FL)- whomever scores last in this game will win. Stats are almost exactly even line by line. Toss up call game.

Wake Forest v (21) Clemson- Clemson has depth and comfortability at every position, including having the nations 5th ranked defense unit. A down year for Wake Forest won’t get any easier this week.

The Big 12 Games-

(4) Kansas v Oklahoma State- Kansas finds a new believer in me after hammering Nebraska last week for a win.  Here is another team with a solid starter and depth at nearly every position. Oh, and defensively they are not so bad- giving up only 77 rushing and 200 yards passing to have the nations 7th rated defensive unit. Believe this years Cinderella story, the possibility of going undefeated is very real if they can gain momentum going into the match up with (6) Missouri to end the year. On ABC.

Baylor v (5) Oklahoma- Baylor has no chance. Oklahoma wins.

Texas A&M v (6) Missouri- see my above comment.

Texas Tech v (14) Texas- WHOOO DOGGIES! Or some Texas statement like that. This matchup plays right into Texas’s weakness and Texas Tech strength- the passing game. Texas is 107 of 119 teams as far as passing yards allowed, While Tech comes in with the nations top offensive unit. Tech will win this game if, and only if, it can stop the `Horns Jamall Charles who comes into this game with 1192 yards from 192 carries and 14 touches.  And considering Tech gives up an average 166 rushing yards a game you have to wonder if that will be just enough to give Texas the advantage. On ABC.

The Big 10 Games-

Illini v (1) Ohio State- Another unconvincing win coming for Ohio State. On ABC.

(12) Michigan v Wisconsin- Michigan should not be ranked. Period, end of story. But whatever, it is what it is. ESPN notes that Wisconsin, “is decimated by injuries, so expect Michigan to take full advantage this weekend.” That about covers it.

(22) Penn State v Temple- Temple isn’t very good. While Joe Pa doesn’t do anything for me, his team this year is fantastic. They roll on.

The Big East-

Louisville v (7) West Virginia- Big East football is just great. This game is a quality passing (LOU) game game versus a quality run game (WV).  West Virginia has the upper hand, who leads the nation in passing yards allowed, which is what the Cardinals will depend on to compete in this game. Take WV for the win.

(13) Connecticut v Cincinnati- Cinnci doesn’t give up much on rush defense, which is a huge element of the Huskies game.  Connecticut should be able to slow Cinci from taking over the game with it’s 22nd ranked pass defense. However, Conn needs the rush game to balance out its attack. Take the upset, Cinnci should win handily.

The WAC Game-

Fresno State v (16) Hawaii- Colt Brennan off the island is a bit sluggish. Fresno is no easy win, but look for Hawaii to take over after halftime adjustments.

And finally my Boise State Broncos…….

(20) Boise State v Utah State- BSU fans are affectionately referring to this game as a ‘bye week’. Honestly, that about sums it up. There is a very good chance that Utah State could finish this season without a win on the books.  And the problem is, the WAC is full of teams that could very easily go 0-12. It’s too bad the conditions aren’t ripe for BSU to make a move to the PAC-10.


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posted by Luke at 16:40:34  

Thursday, November 1, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of November 3rd, 2007

The Heisman Bet Games-

Both Darren McFadden and John David Booty are effectively out of the Heisman picture, short of a late push by either player.

ESPN’s Heisman Watch link here.

The SEC Games-

(3) LSU v (17) Alabama- On CBS. Nick Saban’s first matchup against his old team. College football is just better with certain coaches in it. Saban is one of those.  LSU owns close games for the last 6 years and doesn’t give up many points. Saban will have to get as much as he can from Wilson and Grant.  I dont think this game will be close and Saban will not be happy.

Troy v (10) Georgia- You know who will win.

Tennesse Tech v (16) Auburn- I don’t buy Auburn, but #16 is about right. A win this week is probable.

Vanderbuilt v (20) Florida- Tebow for Heisman? If Ryan or Dixon slip, Tebow could be the next QB to jump up in Heisman polling. It is too bad that quaterbacks dominate the Heisman, but that is the system that we have. An impressive win this week is needed to make a case for Tebow. It won’t be easy, Floridia is a one man show, Tebow accounts for 12 of the teams 21 rushing touchdowns. If Vandy hones in on Tim, the offensive puzzle that Meyer has put forth this year is solved.

The PAC-10 Games-

(4) Arizona State v (5) Oregon- On ABC. As you all have probally figured out by now, I am a fan of the Ducks program.  If you can only watch one game this weekend, this is it. This could be one of the most important games played in recent memory for Oregon. A win here could provide the program with much needed respect in the PAC-10. Do not underestimate Arizona, but if stats are your thing, Oregon, at home, is the clear favorite.

Oregon State v (19) USC- OSU won last year. It will not be repeated playing at the Collusem.

The Big East Games-

Rutgers v (13) UConn- I <3 Big East football. Fast, precise and exciting, what more could you ask for? Does Rutgers have another upset in them this year? This game will test UConn’s D, whom has allowed only 108 points this year. Its a big challange, Teel comes in with 2124 passing yards and 14 TD’s, and the Scarlet Knights running game combines for 1300 yards and 15 TD’s! I will take the upset, Rutgers will play with a chip on its shoulder after being held to only 3 points last week.

Cinncinnati v (18) South Florida- On ABC. The Bulls, in the midst of a two game skid, have fallen in the stats too.  They need more out of QB Groethe if they hope to even stay in the Top 25. Cinnci wins and the Bulls fall out.

The Big Ten Games-

(21) Wisconsin v (1) Ohio State- I fully expect Ohio State to MANHANDLE the Badgers. They have only given up 80 points TOTAL this year. No, that is not a misprint, but granted it was against inferior opponents.

(12) Michigian v Michigian State- Quite frankly, as a college football fan, I am pissed off  that the voters let Michigian back into the top 12, let alone a #12 ranking. It’s asinine that a school whom lost to a Division II program could rise this high in the polls. Why has no one bought www.firelloydcarr.com yet?

The Big 12 Games-

Tex A&M v (6) Oklahoma- On ABC, but why? Well the Sooners are worth watching. Gahhh..

Nebraska v (8) Kansas- Ok, Kansas may just get on my good side eventually, but right now I just dont buy them.  They do posses a 4:1 points scored vs points allowed record and a great run game. This week will not give me the opportunity to say, ‘I told ya so’.

(9) Missouri v Colorado- I still believe that Hawkins has another upset in him this season. He is too good to let his team not continiously improve.  I dont know where Missouri gets its average of 41 points a game from, but one thing is for sure- alot of their success lies in QB Daniel’s 70% completion percentage. If Colorado can keep the passing routes clogged and keep pressure on Daniel’s, they may get a win this week.

(15) Texas v Oklahoma State- On ABC. Worth watching as both teams are giving up a ton of points. OSU will have to elevate its level of play to stay in it after the second half though.

The ACC Games-

(11) Virginia Tech v Georgia Tech- This game will just be fun, period.  Surprisingly, GT leads the stats in total yards per game, rushing yards a game (averaging almost twice that of VT), points allowed and points scored.  GT also has more established offensive posistion players.  I will pick an upset and go GT, but it will be played close.

Florida State v (2) Boston College- On ABC. BC is ranked way to high, but this will not be a game that shows a weakness.  BC QB Matt Ryan and Oregon’s Dixon are the two front-runners for the Hesiman at this point. Ryan and Colt Brennan of Hawaii are the only two QB’s of schools in the top 25 that have more than 200 passing completions. BC is legit, but if they slip, LSU with handily take their place. So much riding on the Heisman hopeful.

(24) Wake Forest v (23) Virginia- This has the makings of a must watch game, a juicy match up between two ACC powerhouses. Offensive stats about even, we look to team unit rankings- Wake Forest averages 30 points a game, Virginia about 22. Wake Forest plays two Top 25 teams in a row, thier season is made starting this week.  Virginia seems to be sputtering, Wake Forest is coming in town at just the right time.

(25) Clemson v Duke- This game doesn’t make me want to watch it. Take Clemson, they are a football school, Duke is not. I guess.

The WAC Games-

San Jose State v (22) Boise State- The Spartans are won of the worst teams in Divison I football. I know, I know, the WAC is full of them. Playing at home, with Ian Johnson back, BSU rolls on. Look for backup QB’s Coughlin and Lomax to get reps in after BSU runs up a lopsided score quickly.


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posted by Luke at 15:35:08  

Friday, October 26, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of October 27th

The Heisman Bet Games-

(14) USC v (5) Oregon- Booty needs game time to get back into Heisman contention. Will he play? Signals from USC indicate that might be a possibility. If so, Oregon will need everything it has to stay in the game. An upset win here could indicate a shifting of powers in the PAC-10 from California to Oregon and Washington. Watch Dixon, QB for Oregon, as he vaults up the Heisman polling should that be the case here.

Floridia International v Arkansas- Ok, as you could see from the Hesisman polling link above Darren McFadden is falling abit in the polling. He isn’t breaking bigger yards per carry gains, and his teams win/loss record is not befitting for a Trophy winner. Arkansas will win here, but Darren needs to ’show us something’ to boost his projected NFL draft status.

The SEC Games- (Admit it, you <3 SEC football ; p)

Mississippi State v (14) Kentucky- I like the Wildcats. I has harsh on them to start the year, untill I got a chance to actually watch them. They are mighty impresive. MSU gives up too many points to stay in the game with Kentucky’s Woodson gunning at the helm. Look for the Wildcats to rebound from last weeks loss at Floridia.

(18) Georgia v (11) Florida- Tim Tebow jumped in the Heisman polling after last weeks game, and rightfully so. He was bothered by a sore shoulder this week, will he break down in the streach? I like Floridia in this game, however look for Tebow to struggle against Georgia’s defense.

Mississippi v (22) Auburn- I don’t find Auburn all that exciting, but they should win this one.

(16) South Carolina v Tennessee- If I had ESPN, this would be my must-watch game of the week. I think Ainge might be one of the best passers in the SEC, the Steve Spurrier defense will make him look shakey this week. I will take Tennessee for a win, both teams are coming off a loss and Tennessee’s offense seems more primed for a quick rebound.

The PAC-10 Games-

(14) USC v (5) Oregon has already been covered, see my game leadup posts.

(21) Cal v (4) Arizona State- Arizona doesnt give up points and scores plenty. This game will be a showdown between a strong passing game in A.S.U. and a dominant run game in Cal. Strong run games control the clock and tempo of the game. The average game points scored between these two teams is even, but take Cal in an upset win.

The Big 12 Games-

(9) Kansas v Texas A&M- The Jawhawks are rated way to high, but don’t look for any reason to knock them down this week. They roll on with a win.

Iowa State v (13) Missouri- The Big 12 should be called the Big Yawn. Missouri wins.

Nebraska v (19) Texas- Finally, a good Big 12 game. All thing even, Texas has a slight advantage in the passing and rushing game. Plus, they play at home. Hook em horns.

The Big 10 Games-

(1) Ohio State v (25) Penn State- I dont like Joe Pa’s team. I just don’t. He’s a crazy road-rage old man. And well, Ohio State really is that good, …. again.  Jim Tressel should be able to overcome Penn’s D and home-field. No word yet if Joe Pa needs a nap at halftime. Just kidding. Besides, OSU has only given up 63 points all year. Really.

Minnesota v (20) Michigian- Somehow, the Wolveriens have snuck back into the top 25.  Sorry, they don’t deserve it. A loss to App State is killer. But they will roll on playing at home, that stadium is huge.

The Big East Games-

(7) West Virginia v Rutgers- The Big East is just yummy. Really. They need some more defense in the league, but otherwise its great TV.  Another passing/rushing matchup. WV is 2nd in the nation in rushing yardage, while Rutgers is 16th in passing yards. Take WV for its defense and ability to control the clock with the run game.

(10) South Florida v (23) Connecticut- Bulls will play with a chip on their should after a loss that took them from #2 to #10. Look for a re-bound game against an overrated UConn.

The ACC Games-

(2) BC has already beat (8) Virgina Tech 14-10. BC scored all its points in the last quater led by Quaterback Matt Ryan who should continue to jump in the Heisman polling after this games performance. Boston is starting to look like Sports-Ville, USA.

(15) Virginia v N.C. State- Cavaliers roll on.

The Wac Games-

New Mexico State v (17) Hawaii- everyone knocks on the WAC becuase its a passing game only league with no defense. Well, you find a need for hiring a coaching staff and spending practice time on defense when you have teams like NMS, UofI, SDS in your league.

And Finally My Boise State Broncos

BSU v Fresno- Ian Johnson is ‘hurt’ and might not play this week. Or so says the crafty shmafty Coach Pete. I think its a rouse. I think I. J. will play. We will need him, Fresno always gives us trouble.


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posted by Luke at 16:58:32  

Thursday, October 18, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of October 20th

Well South Florida finally took a loss on the season at Rutgers tonight. When you play the 9th toughest schedule of Division I football its bound to happen sooner or later… Methinks they will still be at the top of the Big East on the last game of the year..

 Without further ado…….

The Heisman Bet Games-

(14) USC v Notre Dame- Wow here is a big surprise… Notre Dame on NBC!! At least they play a team worth watching this week. Look for Booty to find continued confidence in this game playing, well, Notre Dame.

Arkansas v Mississippi- McFadden will run, we know that, and we know Arkansas has outscored Mississippi this year. Look for Mississippi to try and set a quick rhythm with their passing attack, while Arkansas to run the ball to eat up clock for the win.

The SEC Games-

(21) Tennessee v Alabama- Wow.. if you have ESPN Gameplan, this is my must watch game of the weekend. As I have stated before, I am a fird believer in Ainge, but I also am a beliver in Nick Saban. He wouldn’t leave NFL coaching if he didnt feel he could take `Bama to the top of the SEC. I am going to take `Bama on this one for this simple fact- Ainge is playing with a broken finger, his passing stats are off. `Bama comes into this game with two quality and close wins, proving that Saban’s system is working. I do not have cable, but if I did I would be glued to this game.

Vanderbuilt v (6) South Carolina- Seriously, how loaded is the SEC? Look at the coaching- practically all the premier coaches in Division I football are in the SEC. Look for the Gamecocks to win this one, and watch to see if they can develop more of a offensive attack. Their passing and rushing stats leave much to be desired, but hey, their win totals overide that. Take Spurrier to win at home.

(15) Florida v (7) Kentucky- Oh man, this isn’t cool. I have to stick with Kentucky after last weeks blog post, but this could be a trap game. I was hard on Kentucky earlier this year, but knocking off (1) LSU is impressive, very impressive. I will take Florida to win, but wouldn’t be at all surprising if once again Kentucky proves me wrong. On CBS, my must watch game of the week (unless you ESPN Gameplan).

(17) Auburn v (should be number 1, but 4) LSU- I strongly believe LSU will rebound after its loss last week, and I am not totally sold on Auburn-yet. Auburn should hold its ranking legitimitally though, but look for them to struggle against the loaded SEC team.

The PAC-10 Games-

(10) Oregon v Washington- Washington is licking it chops with locker at the helm, at rightfully so. He may just well be there best shot at regaining some street cred in the PAC-10. However, Oregon is coming to town. They are 3rd in the nation is total yrds a game, 30th in passing yards, 4th in rushing yards, and 5th in the nation in points scored. This may may well be a good game for the Huskies coach to open the playbook a little and see what Boy Wonder can do. I am really impressed with Dixon at the Helm for the Ducks. He keeps the run game balanced, delivers a upper decent to solid passing game, and most importantly, does not turn the ball over. He comes into this game with on 2 interceptions. Yes, thats two for the whole year. I really really like Oregon to win the PAC-10, but we cannot get to far ahead of our selfs here, they play (14) USC at home next week then hit the road for (8) Arizona State. If they Ducks are hungry for the PAC-10 title, this would be the prime game to take a win and build momentum.

(12) Cal v UCLA- yikes! You know Cal should win this game, but look at the stats, they practically the same team! Yowzers… I will predict now an 11-1 Cal team versus an 10-2 Oregon team for the PAC-10 title this year. On ABC.

The Big East Games-
Mississippi State v (9) West Virginia- WV likes to run the ball. Alot. That eats up clock at puts pressure on MSU to throw the ball to play catch-up. Problem is, heh, they have no offensive game. MSU is 113th in total yards and 116th in passing yards. This is not a game Mississippi can win, WV may even be able to work its passing game out a bit more.

(should be ranked) Louisville v Connecticut- UConn does not give up points, its actually quite impressive. I still believe in Brohm, lets see if he can solve the Huskies puzzle…

(23) Cincinnati v Pittsburgh- Another fun game to watch. Oh, what do you know, its a Big East match up!
The Big 12 Games-

(5) Oklahoma v Ohio State- Not much to write about here.

(13) Kansas v Colorado- You want so much to think that Colorado would be able to will a win out here. A 6-0 conference opponent, who by the way beat (5) Oklahoma earlier this year. You have to believe Hawkins still has a little feist in him to get this done. The biggest problem will be the fact that Colorado gives up lots of points, and Kansas has a competent QB gunning his targets. It’s a hard sell for sure, but I think Colorado has a few more upsets in them this season.

(24) Texas Tech v (16) Missouri- Tech is fun to watch- 1st in total yards, passing yards, 2nd in points scored. Their QB Harrell has 3151 yards and 31 touchdowns on the season. I mean, seriously, wow. Colt Brennan who? Sure it’s at Missouri, but Tech has a goal line RB, a gunslinger QB and receiver depth. Take Tech.

(22) Texas at Baylor- yawn, you already how this game ends, it’s not pretty.

The Big 10 Games-
Michigan State v (1) Ohio State- Ohio State was the lucky beneficiary after the pollsters chose to ‘punish’ the real #1 LSU. If the Buckeyes hope to remain a better lead on the spot they had better not only win this game, but look impressive doing so. Tressel will have them ready, but will they respond to this new glorification? On ABC.

(25) Michigan v Illinois- Hmmm.. I beleive Michigian will win this game, but it could be interesting, Michigian has no played well on the road as of late. The ABC late game, which means we might actually get to see more than one game this week!

The ACC Games-

(19) Virginia v Maryland- Virginia’s stats aren’t all that impressive, but hey, what the hell- they are 6-1.

Army v (should be ranked) Georgia Tech- The service academies are not very good. Georgia Tech will benefit from this as they seek to develop their passing game, which in turn will help open up their already decent run game.

Wake Forest v Navy-Again a service academy.

The WAC Games-

Boise State v Louisiana Tech- A solid win here could help the Broncos creep back into the Top 25. Look for a rebound defensive unit who was embarrassed last week by Nevada to hold La Tech down. La Tech always gives BSU trouble, but maybe last week’s game will boost BSU’s level of play this week.

(18) Hawaii has a bye week.


Did I miss the call? Let me know! Register as a user and post feedback. Unless you are a University of Idaho alumni, in which case, please spare us all the burden and don’t.

posted by Luke at 23:00:41  

Friday, October 12, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of October 13th

Ok, ok last week was not my best week. Who cares? It’s just fun talking college football..

With that in mind…..

The Heisman Bet Games-

Arizona v (10) USC- OUCH! A bad week can kill a football program… teams now ranked above USC- Boston College, South Florida, South Carolina and Oregon. Yes, Oregon. Wow. Look for the USC machine to get back on track this week, but it probally won’t be a pretty win.

Auburn v Arkansas- ESPN has moved McFadden down to second in Heisman prognostication. The reason? A paltry 4.9 yrds a carry last week. The O-Line for the Razorbacks are going to have to open up some holes and get their blocking assignments right to get it going on. Take Arkansas at home, but watch to see who they turn to as their big play guy. Last week against UC Chatanooga backup RB Jones delivered a bigger punch with less carries. We shall see further developments this week, Auburn will give them all they can handle.

The SEC Games-

(25) Tennessee v Mississippi State- What a win last week over Georgia. Ainge wasn’t perfect, didn’t need to be. The Volunteers ran the ball well. Tennessee needs another win, will their be an emotional hangover? Mississippi State is 1-2 in conference play this year, dont look now, but at home versus an emotionally drained team, they might be able to pull an upset. Tennessee may well fell like a yo-yo entering and exiting the Top 25 poll this year.

(1) LSU v (17) Kentucky- Do not buy the WildcatsAt least not this week anyway. I don’t buy the hype, maybe its their schedule, I don’t know. I just feel they are due for a letdown. And with LSU coming into town this week, it doesn’t make the picture any rosier.

(7) South Carolina v North Carolina- Repeat after me, “Steve Spurrier is a great coach”. Good! Our therapy time is going well this week. Statistically this teams are realitivly even surprisingly, but the stats don’t show how worlds apart these programs are. The Gamecocks will take the win this week, but the question is- will their level of play inspire new believers in this program?

(24) Georgia v Vanderbilt- Will Georgia please make up its mind? They lost to S.C. and Tennessee but won over Alabama? Serisously, they need to be more consistent to justify their case. This is a good week to get some stability in the win collumn, a loss here could kill their chances of staying in the Top 25.

The PAC-10 Games-

What no one saw coming- a chance for someone other than USC to take the PAC-10 crown. Its a long season though- will the Ducks and Cal be able to hold on?

Washington State v (9) Oregon- Autzen stadium is unpredictable this year, but know this- Washington State sucks. Serisouly. And Oregon is top five in Total Yards, Rushing Yards, and Points Scored. This does not bode well for Washington State, who has given up an average of 31 points a game this year.

Oregon State v (2) Cal- The Golden Bears are alot better than their stats, but here is the most compelling one: points per game, Oregon State 26.8, Cal 39.4. Oh and Cal is playing at home. Enough said.

Yeah, I know Arizona State is unbeaten. Im not buying them however, but they should get a win this week.

The Big East Games-

UCF v (5) South Florida- The Bulls lean heavily on their run game and defence, which will play nicely into their hands this week.  Look to next week when South Florida takes on Rutgers- we should be able to truly gage them then.

Louisville v (15) Cincinnati- Repeat after me if you have ESPNU, “This looks like a game I just have to see this weekend”. And for the rest of America- well check the scores on ESPN.com frequently, this should be a fun game. Lousiville leads the offensive stats, but both score about the same points per game. Interesting split- Louisville has played tougher opponents, but Cini has is playing at home. I dunno who to pick, but this game will be a good one.

The Big-10 Games-

Kent State v (3) Ohio State- Umm yeah, take take Ohio at home. Tressell will have his boys ready.

(18) Illinois v Iowa- Well… ask yourself.. is Illinois REALLY that good? ESPN notes the Illini have a seven game losing streak against Iowa. Iowa is a one trick pony… Rashard Mendenhall will make a very nice running back for a NFL team someday… but the Hawkeyes have a better passing game, and is playing them at home, which should help keeping them in the game. Look for Iowa to continue the streak, or at least put up a hell of a fight.

The Big-12 Games-

(11) Missouri v (6) Oklahoma- The Sooners are much better, and at home. Don’t look for Missouri to slip to far in the polls though, but this week will not be their best game. 

(23) Texas v Iowa State- its hard to make a case for Iowa State to win this game, because they won’t Colt McCoy is struggeling, sure, but a sloppy, unorganized win is still a win. Texas should move up a notch or two in the polls this week.

Other Ranked Teams-

(4) Boston College v Notre Dame- Yikes. What does one think of ND on a week-to-week basis? Personally, I feel the talent is there, but Weis is in way over his head, more due to the culture of ND than his coaching ability.  I will take Boston College to win this game, but it will be interesting to see if ND can string back to back wins together.

(12) Virginia Tech v Duke- Football school plays a basketball school… take VT.

Other Games Of Note-

Rutgers v Syracuse- Take Rutgers and look foreward to their matchup with South Florida next week.

Georgia Tech v Miami (FL)- This will be a fun game, I  like Georgia Tech to win, they seem to have better quality of developed players. Look for Miami to keep it close early though.

Bowling Green v Miami (OH)- Both teams lack a strong running game, but BGU has a high-octane passing attack which will give Miami headaches.

Fresno State v Idaho- My WAC homers say they Vandals will pull an upset. Yeah, whatever.

And Finally My Boise State Broncos-

Nevada v Boise State- Nevada is tanking this year. Like I opined after last week’s game the level of play in the WAC is disintegrating at a disasterous rate.  Programs that were building up, strengthening conference play, have fallen flat. Programs like Nevada, who heads in into this game with a 2-3 record, one of those losses coming from Northwestern. Yikes. That does not bode well for any WAC team’s strength of schedule. Look for Ian Johnson to get his typical 100+ yards with a couple of touches and throw in a Childs td or two for a Boise State win. Oh… and your truly will be there. My sister-in-law rocks.


Live, breathe and die college football.  Read LedeAgenda.com every Thursday for the weeks College Football outlook.  Did we miss the call? Register as a user to post feedback and smack-talk.

posted by Luke at 10:28:38  

Thursday, October 4, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For The Weekend of October 6th

Sorry, a little late on this one, the Thurs night game is currently on, (11) Gamecocks are up over (8) Kentucky at home. I believe that the `Cocks are for real, Kentucky I am still lukewarm on, but they are moving in the right direction.

Oh yeah, and here is my World Series prediction- Red Sox vs Colorado- Red Sox win second pennant in three years. It breaks my heart to type that, because I am a die hard Cubs fan. Sweet Lou showed me how inept he was in Game 1 of the NLCS pulling Zambrano in the 7th even though he let him bat in the bottom of the 6th. Ever hear of a pinch hitter Lou? You know, you’re supposed to use them if you intend to pull your pitcher…

Anyway.. without further ado….

The Heisman Bet Games-

Stanford v (2) USC- Ok first off let me say it’s legit that USC fell to number (2) this week. An undefeated SEC team is much better that an undefeated PAC-10 team by virtue of the tougher SEC schedule, but they are a close, and legit, (2). USC rolls on and Booty looks snappy against, well Stanford.

Chattanooga v Arkansas-  last week McFadden ran for 138 yards and two touches, expect a repeat or better performance this week against a similarly week program.

Ranked SEC Games-

Because I started this late you can call me a liar, but I really would of picked (11) The Gamecocks to ‘upset’ (8) Kentucky. Really. I promise. Read my previous posts- Great coach, at home, with a team of returning starters= a win.  Kentucky’s story is great, but this year is just the first chapter, to complete the novel they will have to repeat next year and thereafter, and I just don’t think this is fit to print, yet.

(12) Georgia v Tennessee- This is Ainge’s last week to show me something. I still believe Tennessee is under-rated, but I’m taking Ugga Power, they got great D and a reasonable offense. Oh yeah, and that coaching thing… On CBS.

(9) Florida v (1) LSU- the winner of this game will set the stage for the SEC championship. As Sporting News puts it in their College Football 2007 guide, “Even if LSU wins this match, can they beat Florida a second time for the SEC championship?”. For this pick I have to go ‘off-rules’: both teams have coaches, starters and schedule, so it boils it down to a gut-instinct thing. My call? Upset special, Urban Meyer shows his greatness and beats the Tigers two years in a row. On CBS.

Ranked PAC-10 Games-

(18) Arizona State v Washington State- The Cougars just aren’t that good, and the Sun Devils, well, they should win.

Oregon and Cal do not play this week. It couldn’t come at a better time for Oregon, losing at home to a better-ranked conference opponent in (6) Cal last week. Unless Cal falters down the stretch, its hard to see the Quacks playing for the PAC-10 title now.

Ranked Big-12 Games- (This ain’t Inter-murals, its Division I football! Its the Big 12!)

The Red River Classic- (10) OK v (19) Texas- Oklahoma has allowed the third least amount of points scored for all Big-12 teams, the Horns? They have allowed 7.8 more points a game that OK. There is also roughly a 9:5 ratio of points scored in favor of the Sooners.  And over the last five years, the coaching is about even, a 55-9 Texas record, 55-12 Sooners, but Texas leads in returning starters and is playing in Dallas, probably home to more fans. In the end- The evidence is overwhelming in favor of the Sooners, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they win, but Texas has also played a tougher schedule thus far, seems to have a better coach, and wins most of my criteria. An upset win, Longhorns take back the Red River crown. On ABC, and my must watch game of the week (a close win over the LSU game).

(25) Nebraska v (17) Missouri- Missouri at home, take em.

Ranked Big-10 Games-

(5) Wisconsin v Illinois- Take the Badgers, they are legit.

(4) Ohio State v (23) Purdue- Jim Tressel will have the Buckeyes ready, you can count on that. On ABC.

Other Ranked Games Of Note-

(6) South Florida v Florida Atlantic- The Big East is making a very nasty schedule for the Bulls, playing Rutgers, Cinci, Syracuse, Louisville and Pitt and their out of conference schedule is also demanding, with a game at Auburn. In short: yes, if they win out, this ranking is legit, and this weeks win will help solidify their hold on the (6) spot.

Bowling Green v (7) Boston College- wow, this will be a fun game to watch. If you have ESPNU, this is a must-see game. For us cable-free types, well whatever. I will take BC at home, and I spite Bowling Green for continuously putting off their game at my Boise State Broncos BECAUSE THEY ARE AFRAID OF US. BC should walk all over BG.

(13) West Virginia v Syracuse- The big East is full of fun teams. I think I will add that Conference to my roster starting next week. Mountaineers will win, the Orange men are still re-building.

(15) VT v (22) Clemson- I don’t buy Clemson, and I definitely think VT gets under-rated because of their mobile-QB offenses. VT move on, but will need to find an identity to move up much more in the rankings.

(20) Cinci v (21) Rutgers- Again, the Big East makes fun games. Who cares who will win this game? It will just be fun to watch.

Utah State v (16) Hawaii- Colt Brennan was on the cover of ESPN the mag this issue. Naturally, being a BSU fan, I used it as rat-box liner. Not really. Colt is awesome. I would like to see him get the Heisman, he deserves it. Did you know he holds like 20+ some off NCAA passing records? Crazy. Anyway, they are at home, they will win.

Notre Dame v UCLA- Will Notre Dame go 0-6? Yes, and here is why: ND gives up massive points. UCLA scores massive points. UCLA is at home. Scoring favors UCLA by a margin of 1:3.5.  Notre Dame can’t rush the ball, having two starters at about 100 yards each. UCLA, on the other hand, has two rushers with 400+ yards each and and a smattering of touches to spread. Passing yards are about even, but we all know ND is without a solid QB at the moment, UCLA’s QB, Olson, on the other hand has 922 Yrds and 7 touches with much much better rushers to take the pressure off. Hey Charlie, the housing market sucks, you may want to contact a Realtor BEFORE Notre Dame’s season is done. If you make it that far anyway.

And Finally My Boise State Broncos-

New Mexico State v BSU- The Broncos will wallop one of the worst teams in Division I football. And I will be there thanks to my kick-ass sister-in-law who got me tickets to the game. Seriously C-Fo, you rock.



 

Did I miss the call? Register as a user on LedeAgenda.com and post your comments, make fun of my football knowledge or just tell me how much I suck when I pick a game wrong. Oh yeah, and post comments on my political rants as well, you know you want to!

posted by Luke at 21:55:09  

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

College football games of note for the weekend of September 29th

The Heisman Bet Games

(1) USC v Washington- This will not go well for the Huskies, but Locker will put up one hell of a fight. On ABC.

N. Texas v Arkansas- Did you see this? McFadden is in the lead for Heisman. The Razerbacks roll on.

SEC Games-

(2)LSU v Tulane- Will Tulane even put up points against this defence?

Auburn v (4)Florida-

Florida Atlantic v (14) Kentucky- The SEC’s newest feel-good story has claws.

Mississippi v (14) Georgia- Ugga Power. No team does well between the hedges.

Mississippi State v (16) South Carolina- Spurrier at home, yup.

(22)Alabama v Florida State- They are playing at Semi’s home, should be a close game. On CBS.

PAC-10 Ranked Games-

(6) Cal v (11) Oregon- One of my must watch games of the weekend. On ABC, both 4-0. The PAC-10 is supposed to be a ‘weaker’ conference, yet there are so many undefeateds. Go figure.

Ranked Team Games-

(3) Oklahoma v Colorado- Hawkins at home… will his Jedi garbage pan out? Probally not.

Kansas State v (7) Texas- Longhorns win this one.

(8) Ohio State v Minnesota- Minnesota leads in almost every statistical category. Will be a close game.

Michigian State v (9) Wisconsin- Another 4-0 matchup, however Wisconsin owns the stats. They will win easily. On ABC.

Maryland v (10) Rutgers- Take the home team. On ABC.

Mass v (12) Boston College- A big win last week for BC, another two 4-0 matchup, will there be a hangover for BC? Not likely, playing at home. Take the Golden Eagles.

NC v (17) Virginia Tech- I love high scoring offenses at home.

(19) Hawaii v Idaho- The Vandals are up-and-coming, but the Warriors leave the island to play a scrimage game.

Upset Special-

(13) Clemson v Georgia Tech- Call me crazy, this is my upset special. GT is high scoring and at home. On ABC.

And Then There is my Boise State Broncos-

Southern Miss v Boise State- The pending C-USA champ will put up one hell of a fight with a team breaking in a new QB and a star running back with production questions. The Broncos play very well at home though, Southern Miss will have so show they are the far better team to take control here.

posted by Luke at 10:24:22  

Thursday, September 13, 2007

College Football Games Of Note For the weekend of September 15th

The Heisman Bet Games- 

(1) USC v (14) Nebraska- USC, on the road, will start to show signs of the superior team that they are, but will be closer than most think, I beleive. Booty will shake off a bad early start, get the USC machine rolling.  Will be on ABC.

(16) Arkansas v Alabama- SEC matchup also, will McFadden carry the team?? 

SEC Matchups-

(22) Tennesse v (5) Floridia- as a plus, its on CBS, my must watch game of the week.

(21) BC v (15) GT- Wow, Ill take GT at home though…

(9) Loiusville v Kentucky- Just a hunch, close game, the Cards are good, but going to a SEC stadium.

SC St v (17) SC- Spurrier will win at home. Period.

Western Carolina v (23) Georgia- Ugga power. Between the hedges lives death. Bulldogs get back on track for the upcoming SEC schedule.

Ranked Teams-

Ohio v (18) VT- VT will put up points at home, duh….

Fresno St v (19) Oregon- Must win game for the Quacks if they want any chance of playing for the PAC-10 title.

(24) Hawaii v UNLV- Warriors off the island two weeks in a row? Last week they got it done, they will this week too…

The Most Disappointing Game Of The Week-

0-2 Notre Dame at 0-2 Michigian- Someone has to win, right? Hart will carry Michigian, this weekend anyway. Game will be on ABC.

And then my Broncos…

Wyoming (2-0) at BSU (1-1)- Let’s get the the north end rowdies going, the Broncos need to win this one.  I.J. at home should play even more like the freak that he is. Tharp win’s, but again struggles with the ”Z” albetros.

Did I miss a game? Wah. Write your own blog.

Why do I focus no much on the SEC? Simple: the winner of the SEC will play USC for the national title.

posted by Luke at 14:13:13  

Friday, August 3, 2007

Are You Ready For Some Football?

The pre-season college football poll is out. Michigan is underrated me thinks. Henne is returning, and they have most of their starters back. Pre-season stuff is so speculative, yet at the same time, I feel drawn to it. Its like gold-mining, you know most of its a wash, yet sometimes you find that nugget of wisdom to focus on during the season.

Other disappointments:

I was a little surprised to see BYU not get more notice, they have finished strong the last couple of years.

My Alma Mater, Boise State, is about right, we lost our starting QB and some seniors, but we still have Ian Johnson, I would have us a bit higher than #23.

I have a hunch: Notre Dame is in for a rough year. Their schedule is BRUTAL, they lost Quinn and it looks like Weis is setting up the system for his top recruits coming in.

School with the most to prove: Ohio State. They loose their gunman and many other seniors. How well has Tressel prepped the system for this turnover? We shall see.

The Please Get Over It Factor: Penn State. This season should see Joe Pa whisked gracefully off to retirement. Hell, he doesn’t even want to coach from the field this year! Don’t buy the hype, this is a school stuck in what Colin Cowheard describes as a “holding pattern”. Right on.

The Heisman Bet: Me and my good friend, whom I shall refer to as A-Rod, made this bet, keep in mind he is from the L.A. area, and of course, roots for USC. I tend to wear my Notre Dame cap just to get under his skin.

If John David Booty, USC’s quarterback, wins the Heisman, I will don a USC lid.
Similarly, if Darin McFadden, Arkansas running back, wins the Heisman, A-Rod will don a Notre Dame lid.

With that in mind: Arkansas is ranked about where they should be. They need to prove that they can overcome some of the tougher games on their schedule. However, feed it to McFadden and they should rise in the polls.

Side Note: I pick Southern Miss to win C-USA, not that anyone, including myself, pays attention to this conference. I make that pick solely because they play my Broncos. Go Golden Eagles.

posted by Luke at 14:54:00  

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